1981—2021年中国季节性干旱与骤发干旱的时空响应关系评估
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098;2.河海大学长江保护与绿色发展研究院,江苏 南京 210098;3.暨南大学环境与气候学院,广东 广州 511443 )

作者简介:

武传号(1985—),男,教授,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:wuch0907@hotmail.com

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(52279016);广东省自然科学基金项目(2023A1515011760)


Evaluation of spatiotemporal response relationship between seasonal drought and flash drought in China from 1981 to 2021//
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;3.College of Environment and Climate, Ji’nan University, Guangzhou 511443, China)

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    摘要:

    以中国九大流域为研究对象,采用标准化蒸发胁迫比和标准化降水蒸散指数,在网格尺度上识别了1981—2021年季节性干旱和骤发干旱,基于非线性模型构建了季节性干旱与骤发干旱特征的响应关系模型,评估了两种干旱的时空响应关系。结果表明:季节性干旱期间的骤发干旱频次明显高于季节性干旱发生前后,但其他骤发干旱特征在季节性干旱发生前后的变化较小,较长的骤发干旱历时和较大的骤发干旱强度主要分布在西北地区,而峰值则在西南、东北和华东地区较高;骤发干旱前后季节性干旱特征的空间变化相对较小,季节性干旱在东北和华南地区频次较高,在西北地区强度较大且峰值较高;季节性干旱对骤发干旱的响应在不同流域差异较大,东南诸河、黄河和松辽河流域骤发干旱强度越大,所触发的季节性干旱强度越大,松辽河、西南诸河和珠江流域骤发干旱峰值越高,所触发的季节性干旱峰值越高。

    Abstract:

    Taking nine major river basins in China as the research objects, seasonal drought and flash drought events from 1981 to 2021 were identified at the grid scale using the standardized evaporation stress ratio and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. Based on the nonlinear models, a response relationship model between seasonal drought and flash drought was constructed, and the spatiotemporal response relationship between seasonal drought and flash drought was evaluated. The results indicate that the frequency of flash drought during seasonal drought is significantly higher than that before and after seasonal drought. However, the other flash drought characteristics show little change before and after seasonal drought. The longer duration and higher intensity of flash drought are mainly observed in northwestern China, while the higher drought peak is found in southwestern, northeastern, and eastern China. The spatial changes in seasonal drought characteristics before and after flash drought are relatively small, with higher frequency of seasonal drought occurring in northeastern and southern China, and higher intensity and peak in northwestern China. The response of seasonal drought to flash drought varies greatly in different basins. The high-intensity flash drought in the Southeast Rivers, Yellow River,and Songliao River basins generally triggers high-intensity seasonal drought, while the high-peak flash drought in the Songliao River, Southwest Rivers, and Pearl River basins triggers high-peak seasonal drought. Keywords: flash drought; seasonal drought; standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index; standardized evaporative stress ratio; nine major river basins in China 〖FL

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武传号,黎梓涛,王赛赛,等.1981—2021年中国季节性干旱与骤发干旱的时空响应关系评估[J].水资源保护,2025,41(2):149-157.(WU Chuanhao, LI Zitao, WANG Saisai, et al. Evaluation of spatiotemporal response relationship between seasonal drought and flash drought in China from 1981 to 2021//[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(2):149-157.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-08-27
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-04-14