基于“ 23∙7”特大洪水的永定河系数字孪生流域防洪模型构建基于
作者:
作者单位:

(1.中国水利水电科学研究院防洪抗旱减灾研究中心,北京 100038;2.河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098;3.江苏省流域地理空间智能工程研究中心,江苏 南京 211100;4.水利部海河水利委员会水文局,天津 300170;5.河海大学地理与遥感学院,江苏 南京 211000 )

作者简介:

马强(1987—),男,高级工程师,博士,主要从事水信息学研究。E-mail:maqiang@iwhr.com 通信作者:杨邦(1982—),男,正高级工程师,博士,主要从事流域洪水预报研究。E-mail:boboyoung@263.net

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3006702);水利部重大科技项目(SKR-2022034)


Construction of flood control model for digital twin basin of the Yongding River System based on “23·7” catastrophic flood
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.Research Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China;2.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;3.Jiangsu Province Engineering Research Center of Watershed Geospatial Intelligence, Nanjing 211100, China;4.Hydrology Bureau of Haihe River Water Conservancy Commission, Ministry of Water Resources, Tianjin 300170, China;5.College of Geography and Remote Sensing, Hohai University, Nanjing 211000, China)

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    摘要:

    针对气候变化与人类活动双重胁迫下永定河系极端暴雨频发、自然水循环异变导致的防洪能力协同性不足问题,基于“ 23∙7”永定河系特大洪水案例,采用融合考虑产汇流机制及水利工程分布特点的水文水动力防洪模型构建策略,开展了数字孪生流域框架下兼顾计算效率与精度的普适性防洪模型建模方法研究。结果表明:永定河系防洪模型可以准确反映洪水过程中不同区域产汇流机制时空变化特征;模型计算效率及精度均达到较高水平,全河系24d逐小时模拟总耗时5min,官厅山峡区间洪峰模拟误差在6%以内;泛区水动力模拟最大淹没面积与遥感实测结果基本一致。

    Abstract:

    Aiming at the problem of insufficient coordination of flood control capacity caused by frequent extreme rainstorms and natural water cycle changes in the Yongding River System under the dual stress of climate change and human activities, the “23·7” catastrophic flood in the Yongding River System was used as a case study. The strategy for construction of the hydrological and hydrodynamic flood control model considering the mechanism of runoff generation and confluence and the distribution characteristics of water conservancy projects was adopted, and the universal flood control modeling strategy considering both computational efficiency and accuracy under the framework of digital twin basin was studied. The results show that the flood control model of the Yongding River System can accurately reflect the spatial and temporal variation characteristics of runoff generation and confluence mechanism in different regions during flood process. The model has a high calculation efficiency and accuracy. The 24-d hourly simulation of the whole river system takes 5 min, and the error of the flood peak simulation in the Guanting Shanxia section is within 6%. The maximum inundated area from hydrodynamic simulation in the floodplain is basically consistent with the remote sensing measurement.

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马强,王浩雯,张珂健,等.基于“ 23∙7”特大洪水的永定河系数字孪生流域防洪模型构建基于[J].水资源保护,2025,41(3):75-82, 92.(MA Qiang, WANG Haowen, ZHANG Kejian, et al. Construction of flood control model for digital twin basin of the Yongding River System based on “23·7” catastrophic flood[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(3):75-82, 92.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-12
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