嘉陵江流域气象干旱向水文干旱传播特征研究
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(1.中南民族大学资源与环境学院,湖北 武汉 430074;2.中国科学院重庆绿色智能技术研究院,重庆 400714;3.武汉大学水资源工程与调度全国重点实验室, 湖北 武汉 430072 )

作者简介:

杜鸿(1988—),女,讲师,博士,主要从事气候变化与水旱灾害研究。E-mail:duhong@scuec.edu.cn 通信作者:曾思栋(1987—),男,研究员,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:zengsidong@cigit.ac.cn

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基金项目:

湖北省自然科学基金项目(2023AFB782);中南民族大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(CZQ24028);中国科学院青年创新促进会项目(2021385);中南民族大学创新创业训练计划项目(S202410524095)


Study on propagation characteristics from meteorological drought to hydrological drought in the Jialing River Basin
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.College of Resources and Environment, South-Central Minzu University, Wuhan 430074, China;2.Chongqing Institute of Green and Intelligent Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chongqing 400714, China;3.State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

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    摘要:

    基于标准化降水指数和标准化径流指数,利用游程理论、皮尔逊相关分析、Copula函数等方法,探究了嘉陵江流域季节尺度和年尺度的气象干旱、水文干旱的演变以及气象干旱向水文干旱传播的特征。结果表明:与气象干旱相比,1960—2018年嘉陵江流域水文干旱加剧趋势更加显著,流域内气象干旱发生的频率高于水文干旱,但水文干旱平均干旱历时和干旱烈度高于气象干旱;气象干旱向水文干旱传播存在滞后性,夏季、秋季比春季、冬季的干旱传播时间短,多年平均降水量大的地区比多年平均降水量小的地区干旱传播时间短;植被季节性耗水使夏季和秋季气象干旱向水文干旱传播概率更大,由于农业灌溉和水库调蓄的影响,嘉陵江流域灌区的气象干旱更容易引发水文干旱。

    Abstract:

    Based on standardized precipitation index(SPI) and standardized runoff index (SRI), the variations of meteorological and hydrological droughts as well as the propagation characteristics from meteorological drought to hydrological drought at different time scales in the Jialing River Basin were studied using run theory, Pearson correlation analysis, Copula function and other methods. The results indicated that compared with meteorological drought, the intensifying trend of hydrological drought in the Jialing River Basin from 1960 to 2018 was more significant. The frequency of meteorological drought was higher than that of hydrological drought, while the average drought duration and drought intensity of hydrological drought were longer and more severe than those of meteorological drought. There was a lag in the propagation from meteorological drought to hydrological drought. The drought propagation time in summer and autumn was shorter than that in spring and winter. Meanwhile, it was shorter in areas with higher average multiyear precipitation than that in areas with lower average multiyear precipitation. Seasonal water consumption of vegetation led to the greater propagation probability from meteorological drought to hydrological drought in summer and autumn. Due to the influence of agricultural irrigation and reservoir regulation, meteorological drought in the irrigation area of the Jialing River Basin was more likely to cause hydrological drought.

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杜鸿,曾思栋,韦晓福,等.嘉陵江流域气象干旱向水文干旱传播特征研究[J].水资源保护,2025,41(3):134-143.(DU Hong, ZENG Sidong, WEI Xiaofu, et al. Study on propagation characteristics from meteorological drought to hydrological drought in the Jialing River Basin[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(3):134-143.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-14
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-12
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