地下水位机器学习模型中的特征筛选及应用效果分析
作者:
作者单位:

(1.北京市水科学技术研究院,北京 100048;2.中国农业大学人文与发展学院,北京 100083;3.中国地质大学(北京)水资源与环境学院,北京 100083;4.北京市水资源调度管理事务中心,北京 100195 )

作者简介:

郭敏丽 (1977—),女,正高级工程师,博士,主要从事地下水污染控制研究。E-mail:mlguo2008@163.com

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

中央水利发展资金项目(11000023T000002098219);生态环保资金项目(HCZB2023ZB0078)


Feature selection in machine learning models of groundwater level and its application effect analysis
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.Beijing Water Science & Technology Institute, Beijing 100048, China;2.College of Humanities and Development Studies, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China;3.School of Water Resources and Environment, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China;4.Beijing Water Resources Dispatching Center, Beijing 100195, China)

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    为提高地下水位机器学习模型模拟效果,采用偏相关分析方法、皮尔逊相关系数法、最大相关-最小冗余(mRMR)法和随机森林(RF)法,对构建的密怀顺区域3种地下水位机器学习模型的输入参数进行特征筛选,并对参数特征筛选前后的模型模拟效果进行了比较。结果表明:不同参数适合不同的特征筛选方法,地下水位及滞后值特征参数可由偏相关系数法获取,人工回补量及滞后值、降水量及滞后值特征参数需由mRMR法和RF法联合确定,其中mRMR法侧重于降水量及滞后值的筛选,RF法侧重于人工回补量及滞后值的筛选;特征筛选有效提高了极限学习机(ELM)模型和RF模型的模拟精度,提升了带有外部输入的非线性自回归神经网络(NARX)模型的运行速度;密怀顺区域3种地下水位机器学习模型应用经过特征筛选后的参数进行模拟,ELM模型的均方根误差、纳什效率系数和决定系数分别提升了63%、98%和45%,RF模型分别提升了49%、6%和2%,NARX模型的运行速度提升了11倍。

    Abstract:

    To improve the simulation performance of machine learning models for groundwater levels, four feature selection methods, including partial correlation analysis, Pearson correlation coefficient, maximum relevance-minimum redundancy (mRMR), and random forest (RF) methods, were employed to screen input parameters for three groundwater level machine learning models in the Mihuaishun Area. The simulation results before and after parameter feature selection were compared. The results show that different parameters require different feature selection methods. Groundwater level and its lagged values can be determined using partial correlation analysis, while artificial recharge and its lagged values, as well as precipitation and its lagged values, require a combination of mRMR and RF methods. Specifically, the mRMR method is more effective for selecting precipitation and its lagged values, whereas the RF method is better suited for screening artificial recharge and its lagged values. Feature selection significantly improved the simulation accuracy of the extreme learning machine (ELM) and RF models while enhancing the computational speed of the nonlinear autoregressive neural network with exogenous inputs (NARX) model. When applied to the three groundwater level machine learning models in the Mihuaishun Area, the parameter feature selection led to notable improvements that the ELM model showed a 63% reduction in root mean square error (RMSE), a 98% increase in the NashSutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), and a 45% improvement in the coefficient of determination (R2). The RF model achieved a 49% reduction in RMSE, a 6% increase in NSE, and a 2% improvement in R2, while the NARX model demonstrated an 11fold increase in computational speed.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

郭敏丽,刘天航,毕二平,等.地下水位机器学习模型中的特征筛选及应用效果分析[J].水资源保护,2025,41(3):179-186, 221.(GUO Minli, LIU Tianhang, BI Erping, et al. Feature selection in machine learning models of groundwater level and its application effect analysis[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(3):179-186, 221.(in Chinese))

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-07-16
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-12
  • 出版日期: