珠海市横琴岛北部极端风暴与天文大潮不同遭遇情景下洪涝淹没规律研究
作者:
作者单位:

(1.水利部粤港澳大湾区水安全保障重点实验室(筹),广东 广州 510611;2.华南农业大学水利与土木工程学院,广东 广州 510642;3.华南理工大学土木与交通学院,广东 广州 510640;4.中山大学土木工程学院,广东 珠海 519082 )

作者简介:

曾照洋(1994—),男,副教授,博士,主要从事城市洪涝模拟研究。E-mail:zyzeng86@scau.edu.cn

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基金项目:

水利部粤港澳大湾区水安全保障重点实验室开放研究基金项目(WSGBA-KJ2023010);国家自然科学基金项目(52209019,52379010);广东省基础与应用基础研究基金项目(2023B1515020087)


Study on flood and inundation law under different encounter scenarios of extreme storms and spring tides in northern part of Hengqin Island, Zhuhai City
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Affiliation:

(1.Key Laboratory of Water Security Guarantee in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Marco Greater Bay Area of Ministry of Water Resources (preparatory), Guangzhou 510611, China;2.College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou 510642, China;3.School of Civil Engineering & Transportation, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China;4.School of Civil Engineering, Sun Yat-Sen University, Zhuhai 519082, China)

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    摘要:

    为探究极端风暴与天文大潮不同遭遇情景下洪涝淹没变化规律,结合跨领域的大气模型、海洋数值模型和城市一二维洪涝模型,提出了一种大气海洋城市相耦合的复合洪涝模拟框架,以实现对台风、暴雨、风暴潮、洪涝淹没等完整过程的模拟。以2018年台风“山竹”风暴增水峰值与2022年6月珠江口天文大潮最低(S1、S5情景)、中(S2、S4情景)和最高(S3情景)潮位遭遇情景为例,分析了珠海市横琴岛北部区域洪涝淹没变化规律。结果表明:淹没面积、淹没水深及洪涝水量呈现S3>S4>S2>S5≈S1的规律,表明风暴增水峰值与天文大潮高潮位遭遇时更可能引发严重的复合洪涝淹没;随着总潮位最大值增加,复合洪涝淹没的主导因素将由排水系统溢流转变为海水淹没;同类遭遇情景(如S2、S4情景)下的洪涝淹没也可能存在巨大差异,表明风暴增水与天文大潮在不同相位叠加对洪涝淹没具有显著影响。

    Abstract:

    In order to explore the law of compound flooding under different encounter scenarios of extreme storms and spring tides, combined with multidisciplinary atmospheric model, oceanographic numerical model and coupled onedimensional and twodimensional hydrodynamic model, a modelling framework of compound flooding integrating atmosphere, ocean and city was proposed to simulate the complete processes of typhoon, rainstorm, storm surge, flood inundation, etc. Considering various scenarios in which the peak of storm surge during Typhoon Mangkhut in 2018 just encountered the lowest (S1 and S5 scenarios), middle (S2 and S4 scenarios) and highest (S3 scenario) levels of spring tide happened in June 2022 in the Pearl River Estuary, the flood inundation changes in the northern part of Hengqin Island, Zhuhai were analyzed. The results show that the inundation area, inundation depth, and flood volume present the law of S3>S4>S2>S5≈S1, indicating that the scenario in which the peak of storm surge encounters high level of spring tide is more likely to cause severe compound flooding. As the maximum total water level rises, the dominant factor of compound flooding will change from the node flooding of drainage system to the inundation caused by seawater. There may also be significant differences in the compound flooding under similar concurrent scenarios (such as S2 and S4 scenarios), indicating that storm surge and spring tide encountering in different phases may have a significant impact on compound flooding.

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曾照洋,杨芳,吴小明,等.珠海市横琴岛北部极端风暴与天文大潮不同遭遇情景下洪涝淹没规律研究[J].水资源保护,2025,41(4):42-50.(ZENG Zhaoyang, YANG Fang, WU Xiaoming, et al. Study on flood and inundation law under different encounter scenarios of extreme storms and spring tides in northern part of Hengqin Island, Zhuhai City[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(4):42-50.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-08-11
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