基于混合指数算法的黄河流域水体面积变化及归因分析
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(1.郑州大学水利与交通学院,河南 郑州 450001;2.河南省水循环模拟与水环境保护国际联合实验室,河南 郑州 450001 )

作者简介:

陶洁(1986—),女,副教授,博士,主要从事河流生态水文、水环境与水资源管理研究。E-mail:taojie2015@zzu.edu.cn

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3200201);河南省科技攻关项目(232102320032,232102320026);河南省水利科技攻关项目(GG202404, GG202405)


Analysis of water surface area changes and attribution in the Yellow River Basin based on hybrid index algorithm
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(1.School of Water Conservancy and Transportation, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, China;2.Henan International Joint Laboratory of Water Cycle Simulation and Environmental Protection, Zhengzhou 450001, China)

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    摘要:

    基于GEE云平台、Landsat5/7/8数据、JRC数据集,利用混合指数法提取了1986—2021年黄河流域及典型湖库的地表水体面积,并分析了其空分布特征;采用累积量斜率变化率比较法对气候因子和人类活动对黄河流域永久性水体面积变化的贡献率进行了定量评估。结果表明:黄河流域地表水体提取的生产者精度为99.39%、用户精度为91.51%、总体精度为94.22%、Kappa系数为0.8785,提取效果较好;1986—2021年黄河流域地表水体面积总体呈增加趋势,典型湖库中扎陵湖、鄂陵湖、东平湖、龙羊峡水库和小浪底水库的永久性水体面积呈增加趋势,红碱淖和刘家峡水库呈略减少的趋势;人类活动是黄河流域永久性水体面积变化的主导因素,降水量贡献率逐渐增大,气温和太阳辐射贡献率降低,但气温的贡献率仍为20%左右。

    Abstract:

    Based on the GEE cloud platform, Landsat 5/7/8 data, and the JRC dataset, the surface water area in the Yellow River Basin and typical lakes and reservoirs from 1986 to 2021 were extracted using the hybrid index algorithm, and the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics was analyzed. The contribution rate of climate factors and human activities to the permanent water area change in the Yellow River Basin was quantitatively evaluated using the cumulative slope change rate comparison method. The results showed that the producer accuracy of surface water extraction in the Yellow River Basin was 99.39%, the user accuracy was 91.51%, the overall accuracy was 94.22%, and the Kappa coefficient was 0.8785, indicating a good extraction effect. The surface water area of the Yellow River Basin showed an overall increasing trend from 1986 to 2021. The permanent water area of typical lakes and reservoirs, including Zhaling Lake, Eling Lake, Dongping Lake, Longyangxia Reservoir, and Xiaolangdi Reservoir, showed an increasing trend, while Hongjiannao and Liujiaxia Reservoirs showed a slight decreasing trend. Human activities are the dominant factor in the permanent water surface area changes in the Yellow River Basin. The contribution rate of precipitation gradually increases, while the contribution rates of temperature and solar radiation decrease, but the contribution rate of temperature is still around 20%.

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陶洁,任磊,梅晓敏,等.基于混合指数算法的黄河流域水体面积变化及归因分析[J].水资源保护,2025,41(4):79-86, 114.(TAO Jie, REN Lei, MEI Xiaomin, et al. Analysis of water surface area changes and attribution in the Yellow River Basin based on hybrid index algorithm[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(4):79-86, 114.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-08-11
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