基于CNN-Attention-LSTM模型的地下水水位预测
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(1.华北水利水电大学地球科学与工程学院,河南 郑州 450046;2.河南工程学院环境与生物工程学院,河南 郑州 451191 )

作者简介:

李小根(1973—),男,教授,博士,主要从事地理信息系统与水利信息技术研究。E-mail:lixiaogen@ncwu.edu.cn

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国家自然科学基金项目(42377490,42077449);河南省重大科技专项项目(221100320200);河南省研究生教育改革与质量提升工程项目(YJS2024JC03,YJS2024KC01);华北水利水电大学研究生教育改革与质量提升工程项目(NCWUJPJC202302,NCWUYZKC202305)


Groundwater level prediction based on CNN-Attention-LSTM model
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(1.College of Geosciences and Engineering, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450046, China;2.College of Environment and Biological Engineering, Henan University of Engineering, Zhengzhou 451191, China)

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    摘要:

    为了提高地下水水位预测的准确性和稳定性,构建了一种基于卷积神经网络(CNN)、注意力机制(Attention)和长短时记忆网络(LSTM)的CNN-Attention-LSTM模型应用于地下水位预测,采用河南省某市17处观测井的实测数据对模型进行了验证,并与CNN、LSTM、CNN-LSTM、Attention-LSTM模型进行对比分析。结果表明:CNN-Attention-LSTM模型在各井位上测试集平均决定系数、平均绝对误差、均方根误差分别为0.972、0.074和0.083,相较于CNN、LSTM、CNN-LSTM、Attention-LSTM 模型,该模型具有较好的平均决定系数、平均绝对误差和均方根误差指标;结合CNN、Attention和LSTM模型应用于地下水水位预测,可实现优势互补,提高水位预测的准确性和稳定性。

    Abstract:

    In order to improve the accuracy and stability of groundwater level prediction, a CNNAttentionLSTM model based on convolutional neural network (CNN), attention mechanism (Attention), and long shortterm memory network (LSTM) was applied to groundwater level prediction. The model was verified through the measured data from 17 observation wells in a certain city of Henan Province, and was compared and analyzed with CNN, LSTM, CNNLSTM, and AttentionLSTM models. The results show that the average determination coefficient, average absolute error, and root mean square error of the test set for each well position of the CNNAttentionLSTM model are 0.972, 0.074, and 0.083, respectively. Compared with CNN, LSTM, CNNLSTM, and AttentionLSTM models, this model has better average determination coefficient, average absolute error, and root mean square error indicators. Combining the CNN, Attention, and LSTM models for groundwater level prediction can achieve complementary advantages and improve the accuracy and stability of water level prediction.

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李小根,刘泓辰,付景保,等.基于CNN-Attention-LSTM模型的地下水水位预测[J].水资源保护,2025,41(4):228-235, 243.(LI Xiaogen, LIU Hongchen, FU Jingbao, et al. Groundwater level prediction based on CNN-Attention-LSTM model[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(4):228-235, 243.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-08-11
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