东北地区长期干旱演变特征及对主要粮食作物产量的影响
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(1.东北农业大学水利与土木工程学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150030;2.南方科技大学环境科学与工程学院,广东 深圳 518055 )

作者简介:

周照强(1994—),男,副教授,博士,主要从事干旱传播研究。E-mail:zhouzq@neau.edu.cn

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基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(52409012);黑龙江省博士后面上项目(LBH-Z24007);新时代龙江优秀硕士、博士学位论文立项项目


Evolution characteristics of long-term drought in Northeast China and their impact on yield of major grain crops
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China;2.School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China)

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    摘要:

    针对东北地区长期干旱演变对粮食安全的潜在威胁,利用标准化降水蒸散发指数,结合Savitzky-Golay平滑滤波方法,评估了1901—2021年东北地区的气象干旱特征,对比了近期(1992—2021年)与历史长期(1901—1991年)气象干旱特征,结合1995—2021年东北地区玉米、水稻、小麦3种主要粮食作物的产量,探究了东北地区气象干旱与粮食作物产量之间的关系。结果表明:东北地区呈现干湿交替的变化特征,近期呈现干旱化趋势的地区明显增多,气候变暖导致蒸散发的增加可能是影响东北地区干旱化趋势的主要因素;东北地区农田植被对气象干旱的响应呈现由西南向东北逐渐增强的趋势,东北地区的干湿情况对水稻单位面积产量产生了负面影响,而对玉米和小麦单位面积产量产生了积极的影响。

    Abstract:

    To address the issue of long-term drought evolution characteristics in Northeast China and its potential threats to fooTo address the issue of longterm drought evolution characteristics in Northeast China and its potential threats to food security, this study utilized the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index, combined with the SavitzkyGolay smoothing filter method, to assess the meteorological drought characteristics from 1901 to 2021. It compared the meteorological drought characteristics in recent period (19922021) with those in the historical longterm period (19011991), and explored the relationship between meteorological drought and major grain crop yields in Northeast China by integrating the yields of the three major grain crops including maize, rice, and wheat, from 1995 to 2021. The results showed that Northeast China exhibits alternating dry and wet conditions. In recent years, the areas showing a trend of aridification have significantly increased. The increase in evapotranspiration due to climate warming is likely the main factor affecting aridification trend in Northeast China. The response of farmland vegetation to meteorological drought in Northeast China presents a trend of gradually increasing from the southwest to the northeast. The dry and wet conditions in Northeast China negatively impact the perunitarea yield of rice, but have a positive effect on the perunitarea yields of maize and wheat.

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周照强,王萍,石博,等.东北地区长期干旱演变特征及对主要粮食作物产量的影响[J].水资源保护,2025,41(5):123-131.(ZHOU Zhaoqiang, WANG Ping, SHI Bo, et al. Evolution characteristics of long-term drought in Northeast China and their impact on yield of major grain crops[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(5):123-131.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-21
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