考虑变动产流模式的金沙江流域降雨融雪径流模拟及水文响应分析
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(1.河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098;2.河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098;3.河海大学长江保护与绿色发展研究院,江苏 南京 210098;4.中国气象局水文气象重点开放实验室,江苏 南京 210098;5.水利部水利大数据重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098 )

作者简介:

张珂(1979—),男,博士,教授,主要从事洪水预报与水文遥感研究。E-mail:kzhang@hhu.edu.cn

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3006500);山东省水文中心科技项目(37000000025001720230584,37000000025001720240235,37000000025001720250245)


Rainfall-snowmelt runoff simulation and hydrological response analysis in the Jinsha River Basin considering dynamic runoff-generation mode
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(1.State Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;3.Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development, Nanjing 210098, China;4.China Meteorological Administration Hydro-Meteorology Key Laboratory, Nanjing 210098, China;5.Key Laboratory of Water Big Data Technology of Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing 210098, China)

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    摘要:

    针对青藏高原产流机制复杂、水循环关键要素响应关系尚不明确的问题,提出了子流域尺度变动产流模式识别方法。基于MODIS卫星遥感产品和子流域主导产流模式划分结果,运用分布式水文模型iRainSnowHydro开展了金沙江流域降雨融雪径流模拟和水源分割,定量分析了直门达和石鼓子流域径流组成的季节性变化特征以及降水与径流在不同响应时间下的自相关系数、偏自相关系数和互相关系数。结果表明:提出的方法可以有效识别金沙江各子流域的季节性主导产流模式,较准确地模拟流域径流过程,纳什效率系数达到0.75;壤中流和地下径流是直门达和石鼓子流域主要的径流组分,春、夏季地表径流占比显著提高,地表径流和基流的消退时间分别为3~10、10~80d。

    Abstract:

    A sub basin scale dynamic runoff-generation identification method was proposed to address the complex runoff mechanism and unclear response relationships of key water cycle elements in the Qinghai Tibet Plateau. Based on MODIS satellite remote sensing products and the classification results of dominant runoff-generation modes in sub-basins, the distributed hydrological model iRainSnowHydro was applied for rainfall-snowmelt runoff simulation and water source division. Quantitative analysis was conducted on the seasonal variation characteristics of runoff composition in the Zhimenda and Shigu sub-basins, as well as the autocorrelation coefficients, partial autocorrelation coefficients, and cross-correlation coefficients of precipitation and runoff at different response times. The results show that the proposed method can effectively identify the seasonal dominant runoff patterns in each sub-basin of the Jinsha River Basin, accurately simulate the runoff process of the basin, and achieve a Nash efficiency coefficient of 0.75. Interflow and groundwater are identified as the dominant runoff components in the Zhimenda and Shigu sub-basins, while the proportion of surface runoff increases significantly during spring and summer. The decay time of surface runoff and base flow is 3-10 and 10-80 d, respectively.

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张珂,罗煜宁,王宇昊,等.考虑变动产流模式的金沙江流域降雨融雪径流模拟及水文响应分析[J].水资源保护,2025,41(5):213-222.(ZHANG Ke, LUO Yuning, WANG Yuhao, et al. Rainfall-snowmelt runoff simulation and hydrological response analysis in the Jinsha River Basin considering dynamic runoff-generation mode[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(5):213-222.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-21
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