基于MSWEP数据的缺资料小流域降水量推求研究
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(1.南京水利科学研究院水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210029;2.河海大学长江保护与绿色发展研究院,江苏 南京 210098;3.温州市鹿城区水利建设管理中心,浙江 温州 325005;4.河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098 )

作者简介:

刘连(2002— ),女,硕士研究生,主要从事遥感水文和水文预报研究。E-mail:2551594160@qq.com 通信作者:蒋宁(1987— ),男,高级工程师,主要从事水利工程规划和建设管理研究。E-mail:267308052@qq.com

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3002903);国家自然科学基金项目(52279019)


Study on precipitation estimation for data-scarce small-scale basins based on MSWEP
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.The National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China;2.Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;3.Water Conservancy Construction Management Center of Lucheng District of Wenzhou City, Wenzhou 325005, China;4.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

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    摘要:

    为探索卫星遥感、大气再分析等全球性降水数据在缺资料小尺度流域的应用,以浙江省温州市仰义水库流域为例,开展了基于高分辨率全球性降水数据集——多源加权集合降水(MSWEP)的缺资料小流域长系列降水过程和设计暴雨推求研究。结果表明:在日、月、年3种时间尺度上,MSWEP尽管存在一定误差,但总体上对1979—2020年仰义水库流域降水过程具有较强的表征能力;对于设计暴雨,MSWEP对站点降水量存在一定的低估,其推求的仰义水库流域年最大1d、24h、3d设计暴雨在多数情况低于站点移用降水量推求结果,但两者差异均未超过18%,特别是对于超过50年一遇的年最大1d和24h设计暴雨,两者差异基本在6%以内;采用MSWEP推求的仰义水库流域设计暴雨的可靠性优于暴雨统计参数图集查算结果。

    Abstract:

    To investigate the application of global precipitation data, such as the data from satellite remote sensing and atmospheric reanalysis, in data-scarce small-scale basins, a case study was conducted in the Yangyi Reservoir Basin in Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province. The study utilized a high-resolution global precipitation product, i.e., multi-source weighted-ensemble precipitation(MSWEP) to derive long term precipitation processes and estimate design storms for the data scarce small basin. The results indicate that, at daily, monthly, and annual time scales, although MSWEP exhibits certain errors, it generally demonstrates strong capability in characterizing precipitation processes in the Yangyi Reservoir Basin from 1979 to 2020. For design storms, MSWEP tends to slightly underestimate observed precipitation, and the annual maximum 1d, 24h, and 3d design storm values for the Yangyi Reservoir Basin derived from MSWEP are generally lower than those obtained from station based precipitation data. However, the relative differences of the results between the two methods remain within 18%. Particularly, for the annual maximum 1d and 24h design storm values with a return period exceeding 50 a, the relative differences are mostly within 6%. For the Yangyi Reservoir Basin, the reliability of design storm estimates derived from MSWEP is superior to that obtained from statistical parameter atlas.

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刘连,胡庆芳,蒋宁,等.基于MSWEP数据的缺资料小流域降水量推求研究[J].水资源保护,2025,41(6):132-138, 185.(LIU Lian, HU Qingfang, JIANG Ning, et al. Study on precipitation estimation for data-scarce small-scale basins based on MSWEP[J]. Water Resources Protection,2025,41(6):132-138, 185.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-05
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