城市暴雨洪涝全过程模拟及其在洪涝风险评估中的应用
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(中国水利水电科学研究院防洪抗旱减灾研究中心 )

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臧文斌(1986—),男,正高级工程师,博士,主要从事城市洪涝模拟及智慧水利研究。E-mail:zangwb@iwhr.com

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3008502)


Whole process simulation of urban rainstorm and flood and its application in flood risk assessment
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(Research Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

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    摘要:

    针对城市地表排水过程复杂、排水管网资料难以全面获取的问题,基于雨水箅/检查井/排水口的“地表积水管网河网”物理机制排水、雨水箅/检查井汇水区的“地表积水→管网”概化排水和排水口汇水区的“地表积水→河道”概化排水3种地表排水模拟方法,构建了深圳市沙湾河流域暴雨洪涝全过程精细化模型,并利用设计资料和2023年“9·7”特大暴雨资料对模型进行了合理性分析与验证。结果表明:丹竹水文站水位模拟结果的绝对误差为0.37m,相对误差为6%,模型具有较好的适用性;随着降雨重现期增大,沙湾河流域淹没面积不断增加,淹没水深不断增大,积水主要分布在流域的北部、东部和东南部,管段满管数量和节点溢流数量呈增加趋势,且趋于集中分布;当降雨重现期小于20a时,河道行洪压力较小,最高水位明显低于堤顶高程,当降雨重现期大于50a时,河道水位较高,河道行洪压力较大。

    Abstract:

    In response to the complex process of urban surface drainage and the difficulty in obtaining comprehensive data on drainage networks, a refined model of the whole process of rainstorm and flood in the Shenzhen Shawan River Basin of Shenzhen City was built based on three simulation methods, including physical mechanism-based drainage “surface water drainage network river channel” using inlets/inspection wells/drainage outfalls, simplified drainage “surface water → drainage network” based on catchment areas of inlets/inspection wells, simplified drainage “surface water → river channel” based on catchment areas of drainage outfalls. The rationality of the model was analyzed and verified by using the design data and the “9·7” extremely heavy rainstorm data in 2023. The results show that the absolute error of the water level simulation result at Danzhu Hydrological Station is 0.37 m, and the relative error is 6%, indicating that the model has good applicability. As the rainfall return period increases, the submerged area and depth of the Shawan River Basin continue to increase, and the accumulated water is mainly distributed in the northern, eastern, and southeastern parts of the basin. The number of full pipes in the pipeline section and the number of overflow nodes show an increasing trend and tend to be concentrated in distribution. When the rainfall return period is less than 20 a, the flood pressure in the river channel is relatively low, and the highest water level is significantly lower than the elevation of the embankment top. When the rainfall return period is greater than 50 a, the water level in the river channel is higher, and the flood pressure in the river channel is greater.

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臧文斌,刘妍,张红萍,等.城市暴雨洪涝全过程模拟及其在洪涝风险评估中的应用[J].水资源保护,2026,42(1):103-111.(Zang Wenbin, Liu Yan, Zhang Hongping, et al. Whole process simulation of urban rainstorm and flood and its application in flood risk assessment[J]. Water Resources Protection,2026,42(1):103-111.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-02-03
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