基于机器学习的Penman-Monteith-Leuning蒸散发模型参数优化及其应用
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作者单位:

(1.天津大学水利工程智能建设与运维全国重点实验室;2.河北省石家庄水文勘测研究中心;3.水利部海河水利委员会水文局)

作者简介:

李建柱(1981—),男,教授,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:lijianzhu@tju.edu.cn

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基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(52279022,52079086)


Parameter optimization of Penman-Monteith-Leuning evapotranspiration model based on machine learning and its application
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.StateKey Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Intelligent Construction and Operation, Tianjin University; 2.Shijiazhuang Hydrology Survey and Research Center of Hebei Province; 3.Hydrology Bureau of Haihe River Water Conservancy Commission, MWR)

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    摘要:

    基于河北省柳林流域的涡动相关系统与蒸渗仪观测数据,评估了波文比法对能量闭合的修正效果,分别采用粒子群优化算法和机器学习模型优化了Penman-Monteith-Leuning(PML)模型中的关键参数,进而模拟了研究区长时间序列蒸散发并分析了其时空变化规律。结果表明:能量闭合修正后,研究区涡动相关系统与蒸渗仪观测值拟合结果的决定系数(R2)提高了0.04;采用机器学习模型优化动态土壤蒸发系数提升了PML模型的模拟效果,模拟结果的R2为0.79、纳什效率系数为0.76,与基于流域水量平衡法模拟的蒸散发相对误差为-5.06%;2001—2022年柳林流域多年平均蒸散发为477.8mm,年内蒸散发集中在5—8月,具有西北高、东南低的空间分布特征,林地的年均蒸散发最大,草地和农田次之,建筑用地最小。

    Abstract:

    Based on the vortex correlation system and evapotranspiration observation data in the Liulin watershed of Hebei Province, the correction effect of the Bowen ratio method on energy closure was evaluated. Particle swarm optimization algorithm and machine learning model were used to optimize the key parameters in the Penman-Monteith-Leuning(PML) model, and the long term evaporation of the study area was simulated and its spatiotemporal variation was analyzed. The results showed that after energy closure correction, the determination coefficient (R2) of the fitting results between the observed values of the vortex related system and the lysimeters in the study area increased by 0.04. The use of machine learning models to optimize the dynamic soil evaporation coefficient improved the simulation performance of the PML model. The simulation results showed an R2 of 0.79 and a Nash efficiency coefficient of 0.76, with a relative error of -5.06% compared to the evapotranspiration simulated based on the watershed water balance method. The average annual evapotranspiration in the Liulin Watershed from 2001 to 2022 was 477.8 mm, with evapotranspiration concentrated from May to August. It had a spatial distribution characteristic of being higher in the northwest and lower in the southeast. Forest land had the highest average annual evapotranspiration, followed by grassland and farmland, and building land had the smallest.

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李建柱,赵路云,陈旭.基于机器学习的Penman-Monteith-Leuning蒸散发模型参数优化及其应用[J].水资源保护,2026,42(2):78-88.(Li Jianzhu, Zhao Luyun, Chen Xu. Parameter optimization of Penman-Monteith-Leuning evapotranspiration model based on machine learning and its application[J]. Water Resources Protection,2026,42(2):78-88.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-26
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