河南省陆地水储量动态演变及其驱动机制研究
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河南省地质局生态环境地质服务中心;2.河南省矿山环境生态修复工程技术研究中心;3.河南省地热能开发工程技术研究中心)

作者简介:

黄继超(1985—),男,高级工程师,主要从事水文地质研究。E-mail:yxhuangchao@163.com 通信作者:邓晓颖(1972—),男,正高级工程师,硕士,主要从事水文地质研究。E-mail:515016938@qq.com

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

2023年度河南省科技攻关项目(232102320274);2022年度河南省自然资源科研项目(2022-3);2024年度中心科技创新基金项目(2024KC03)


Research on dynamic evolution and driving mechanisms of terrestrial water storage in Henan Province
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.HenanGeological Bureau Ecological Environment Geological Service Center;2.HenanProvince Mining Environment Ecological Restoration Engineering Technology Research Center;3.HenanProvince Geothermal Energy Development Engineering Technology Research Center)

Fund Project:

undefined

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    为探究气候与人类活动协同作用对河南省陆地水储量(TWS)的影响机制,集成2003—2022年GRACE/GRACE-FO重力卫星与气象观测数据,构建了融合Theil-Sen Median趋势分析、Mann-Kendall趋势检验及最优参数地理探测器模型的多维分析框架,揭示了河南省TWS时空演变规律及驱动机制。结果表明:TWS年际变化呈先减后增趋势,下降速率为-1.279mm/a,并伴随显著季节性波动;2004年丰水年降水补给促使TWS达到峰值(25.25mm),2019年极端干旱事件导致TWS降至历史低值(-27.42mm);空间分布上,TWS呈西南高、东北低的格局,黄河流域与海河流域因干旱及地下水超采成为显著衰退区,而淮河流域通过跨流域调水和生态修复有效减缓了TWS下降趋势;降水是TWS变化的主导因素,但气温与高程的贡献率自2015年以来显著增强,反映出气候变暖与人类活动的叠加影响;多因子交互作用呈现非线性增强特征,降水与高程及气温与潜在蒸散发组合的解释力远超单因子,揭示了自然人为因素协同调控TWS的复杂机制。

    Abstract:

    To investigate the synergistic impacts of climate change and human activities on terrestrial water storage(TWS) in Henan Province, this study integrated GRACE/GRACEFO gravity satellite data and meteorological observations from 2003 to 2022. A multi dimensional analytical framework was established by combining Theil Sen Median trend analysis, Mann Kendall significance test, and the optimal parameters based geographical detector model, to reveal the spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanisms of TWS in Henan Province. The results show that the interannual variation of TWS exhibited a trend of decreasing first and then increasing, with a declining rate of -1.279 mm/a and significant seasonal fluctuations. Precipitation recharge in the wet year of 2004 pushed TWS to its peak (25.25 mm), while the extreme drought event in 2019 reduced TWS to a historical low value (-27.42 mm). Spatially, TWS presented a pattern of high values in the southwest and low values in the northeast. The Yellow River Basin and Hai River Basin became regions with significant TWS depletion due to drought and groundwater overexploitation, whereas the Huai River Basin effectively mitigated the TWS decline through inter basin water transfer and ecological restoration. Precipitation was the dominant factor controlling TWS variation, but the contribution rates of temperature and elevation have increased significantly since 2015, reflecting the combined effects of climate warming and human activities. The interaction of multiple factors showed nonlinear enhancement, and the explanatory power of combinations such as precipitation elevation and temperature potential evapotranspiration far exceeded that of single factors, revealing the complex mechanism by which natural and anthropogenic factors synergistically regulate TWS.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

黄继超,邓晓颖,齐玉峰,等.河南省陆地水储量动态演变及其驱动机制研究[J].水资源保护,2026,42(2):132-139.(Huang Jichao, Deng Xiaoying, Qi Yufeng, et al. Research on dynamic evolution and driving mechanisms of terrestrial water storage in Henan Province[J]. Water Resources Protection,2026,42(2):132-139.(in Chinese))

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-26
  • 出版日期: