“北粮南运”背景下东北地区粮食虚拟水流动及其对水资源压力的影响
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作者单位:

(1.中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所;2.水利部水利水电规划设计总院;3.中国科学院大学)

作者简介:

李博(1993—),男,助理研究员,博士,主要从事农业水资源研究。E-mail:lib@iga.ac.cn 通信作者:章光新(1971—),男,研究员,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:zhgx@iga.ac.cn

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基金项目:

中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(A类)项目(XDA28020501);中国工程院战略研究与咨询项目(JL2023-17)


Virtual water flow of grain in Northeast China and its impact on water resources pressure under background of “North-to-South Grain Transport”
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences;2.General Institute of Water Resources Planning and Design, Ministry of Water Resources;3.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

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    摘要:

    利用多源数据解析了东北地区粮食虚拟水的流动规模和结构,并评估了其对水资源压力的影响。结果表明:1990—2022年东北地区粮食虚拟水调出量共计16520.03亿m3,其中绿水12604.78亿m3,蓝水3915.25亿m3;气候变暖与经济利益共同驱动了粮食虚拟水流动规模和结构,因粮食虚拟水流动引起的水资源压力指数由0.47上升为0.87,压力水平由中度变为重度;东北地区应结合水资源条件调整种植结构,推进水网工程建设;中央政府需推动虚拟水和实体水资源综合管控,保障粮食安全与水资源可持续利用。

    Abstract:

    The virtual water flow scale and structure of grain in Northeast China were analyzed using multi-source data, and their impact on water resources pressure was assessed. The results show that from 1990 to 2022, the total amount of grain virtual water exported from Northeast China is 1652.003 billion m3, including 1260.478 billion m3 of green water and 391.525 billion m3 of blue water. Climate warming and economic interests jointly drive the scale and structure of the grain virtual water flow, and the water resources stress index caused by the grain virtual water flow rises from 0.47 to 0.87, and the stress level changes from moderate to severe. Northeast China should adjust the planting structure and promote the construction of water network projects in the light of water resources conditions. The central government needs to promote the integrated management and control of virtual and physical water resources to ensure food security and the sustainable use of water resources.

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李博,李云玲,章光新,等.“北粮南运”背景下东北地区粮食虚拟水流动及其对水资源压力的影响[J].水资源保护,2026,42(2):179-189.(Li Bo, Li Yunling, Zhang Guangxin, et al. Virtual water flow of grain in Northeast China and its impact on water resources pressure under background of “North-to-South Grain Transport”[J]. Water Resources Protection,2026,42(2):179-189.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-26
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