基于可变毕达哥拉斯模糊和VIKOR耦合方法的冀中南地区水资源系统韧性评价
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(1.华北水利水电大学水资源学院;2.水利部水利水电规划设计总院)

作者简介:

张小丽(1985—),女,副教授,博士,主要从事水资源管理研究。E-mail:zxl436@163.com 通信作者:马睿(1988—),女,高级工程师,博士,主要从事水资源规划与战略研究。E-mail:marui@giwp.org.cn

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3006602);河南省高等学校青年骨干教师培养计划;河南省自然科学基金项目(262300421761);国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(51709108)


Evaluation of water resources system resilience based on variable Pythagorean fuzzy and VIKOR coupling method in central and southern regions of Hebei Province
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Affiliation:

(1.College of Water Resources, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power;2.General Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Planning and Design, Ministry of Water Resources)

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    摘要:

    为精准评估冀中南地区水资源系统韧性,从水资源系统扰动前、中、后3个阶段出发,选取涵盖自然环境、人口、社会经济、技术管理等关键因素的18个指标,构建了反映抵抗性、恢复性、适应性的冀中南地区水资源系统韧性评价指标体系。引入毕达哥拉斯模糊集(PFS)处理决策信息中的不确定性和模糊性,结合PFS熵测度和PFS散度测度确定指标权重,建立了基于可变毕达哥拉斯模糊和VIKOR耦合方法的水资源系统韧性评价模型。模型评价结果表明:2015—2023年冀中南地区水资源系统韧性整体呈上升趋势,但受适应性子系统波动的影响,在2018—2019年、2021—2022年出现波动;各市水资源系统韧性值虽有波动,但整体较好,在不同年份因特定指标变化导致韧性值变化。

    Abstract:

    To accurately evaluate the water resources system resilience in the central and southern regions of Hebei Province, based on the three stages of water resource system disturbance:before, during, and after,18 indicators covering key factors such as natural environment, population, socioeconomy, and technical management were selected to construct an evaluation index system for water resource system resilience in the central and southern regions of Hebei Province, reflecting resistance, recovery, and adaptability. To address the uncertainty and fuzziness in decision-making information, the Pythagorean fuzzy set(PFS) was introduced. By combining PFS entropy measurement and PFS divergence measurement, the indicator weights were determined. The evaluation model for water resource system resilience based on variable Pythagorean fuzzy and VIKOR coupling method was established. The model evaluation results indicated that the water resources system resilience in the central and southern regions of Hebei Province showed an overall upward trend from 2015 to 2023, but was affected by fluctuations in the adaptive subsystem, leading to variations during 2018 2019 and 2021 2022. Although the resilience values of water resources systems in various cities fluctuate, they are generally good, and the resilience values change in different years due to changes in specific indicators.

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张小丽,姜力荣,马睿,等.基于可变毕达哥拉斯模糊和VIKOR耦合方法的冀中南地区水资源系统韧性评价[J].水资源保护,2026,42(2):190-198.(Zhang Xiaoli, Jiang Lirong, Ma Rui, et al. Evaluation of water resources system resilience based on variable Pythagorean fuzzy and VIKOR coupling method in central and southern regions of Hebei Province[J]. Water Resources Protection,2026,42(2):190-198.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-26
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