不同水沙调控阶段黄河流域梯级水库群系统协同演变特征
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(1.南京水利科学研究院河流海岸研究所;2.黄河水利委员会黄河水利科学研究院 )

作者简介:

杨啸宇(1998—),男,博士研究生,主要从事水沙动力与流域系统治理研究。E-mail:xyyang@nhri.cn

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基金项目:

国家自然科学基金黄河水科学研究联合基金项目(U2243241);国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3200400);南京水利科学研究院研究生学位论文基金项目(Yy225006)


Coordinated evolution characteristics of cascaded reservoir system in the Yellow River Basin under different water-sediment regulation stages
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(1.River and Harbor Engineering Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute;2.Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, YRCC)

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    摘要:

    为准确把握黄河流域梯级水库群系统的协同演变规律,基于协同学理论,识别了黄河流域不同河段行洪输沙、生态环境、社会经济子系统的序参量,分析了序参量的变化特征,明晰了1965—2020年系统协同度演变特征。结果表明:1965—1985年流域多年平均来水量相对较多,虽然流域用水量逐步提升,系统整体仍处于自我平衡的良好协同状态,但此时水库调控能力较弱,序参量受天然水沙条件影响,系统协同度年际间波动大,中游部分年份系统降至中度不协同状态;1986—2001年序参量受龙羊峡水库投入运行、调度体系不完善和流域用水量迅速增大等因素的影响,系统平衡状态被打破,降至勉强协同状态,下游协同度降幅最大,部分年份系统降至严重不协同状态;2002—2020年水库群调控体系完善,流域水量分配更为合理,序参量得到恢复,系统进入新协同阶段,回升至初级协同状态,并出现向更高协同状态演进的趋势。

    Abstract:

    In order to accurately understand the coordinated evolution patterns of the cascaded reservoir system in the Yellow River Basin, based on synergetics theory, order parameters of flood-sediment transport, ecological environment, and socioeconomic subsystems in different reaches of the Yellow River Basin were identified. The variation characteristics of these order parameters were analyzed, and the evolution characteristics of coordination degree of the cascaded reservoir system from 1965 to 2020 were clarified. The results show that, from 1965 to 1985, the multi-year average runoff of the basin was relatively abundant. Although the water consumption in the basin gradually increased, the overall system remained in a self-balanced and well-coordinated state. However, due to the limited regulation capacity of reservoirs, order parameters were largely affected by natural runoff and sediment conditions, resulting in large interannual fluctuations in system coordination degree. In the middle reach, the cascaded reservoir system even dropped to a moderately uncoordinated state in some years. From 1986 to 2001, due to the operation of the Longyangxia Reservoir, the immaturity of the unified dispatching system, and the rapid increase in water consumption in the basin, order parameters were adversely affected. The system’s balance was disrupted, leading to a degline to a barely coordinated state. The lower reach experienced the sharpest decline in the system coordination degree, even reaching a severely uncoordinated state in some years. From 2002 to 2020, the cascaded reservoir regulation system was improved, the water allocation in the basin became more reasonable, and order parameters were recovered. Then, the system entered a new coordinated stage, rising to a primary coordinated state and showing an upward evolutionary trend.

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杨啸宇,缴健,屈博,等.不同水沙调控阶段黄河流域梯级水库群系统协同演变特征[J].水资源保护,2026,42(3):146-153.(Yang Xiaoyu, Jiao Jian, Qu Bo, et al. Coordinated evolution characteristics of cascaded reservoir system in the Yellow River Basin under different water-sediment regulation stages[J]. Water Resources Protection,2026,42(3):146-153.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-16
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