全堵塞周期透水沥青产流量预测的FRAC修正模型
作者:
作者单位:

(1.北京建筑大学城市雨水系统与水环境教育部重点实验室;2.北京节能减排与城乡可持续发展省部共建协同创新中心 )

作者简介:

杜晓丽(1980—),女,教授,博士,主要从事城市雨洪控制利用研究。E-mail:duxiaoli@ bucea. edu. cn

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基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3200700)


Modified FRAC model for predicting runoff generation from permeable asphalt throughout entire clogging cycle
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.Key Laboratory of Urban Stormwater System and Water Environment, Ministry of Education, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture; 2.Beijing Energy Conservation & Sustainable Urban and Rural Development Provincial and Ministry Coconstruction National Collaboration Innovation Center)

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    摘要:

    针对传统基于下渗曲线扣损法的下渗产流模型难以灵活、高效预测全堵塞周期透水沥青表面产流量的问题,通过对部分损失(FRAC)模型进行积分变形,引入透水沥青的降雨初期损失量并修正模型径流转化比例参数(Cr),构建了预测全堵塞周期透水沥青产流量的修正FRAC模型。该模型采用渗透速率量化降雨初期损失量,建立了其经验拟合方程,并构建了修正后参数Cr与渗透速率、降雨强度之间的函数关系,实现了模型参数随降雨强度、透水沥青堵塞程度变化的动态取值。采用实测产流数据对模型进行了验证,结果表明:FRAC模型高估了全堵塞周期透水沥青产流量,对产流量预测的平均绝对误差(MAE)、均方根误差(RMSE)、纳什效率系数(NSE)分别为15.87mm、16.77mm和-1.06;而FRAC修正模型的MAE、RMSE分别下降至0.36mm和0.67mm,NSE提升至0.97;FRAC修正模型在预测不同堵塞程度透水沥青产流量时表现出较高精度,能够有效反映实际产流总量。

    Abstract:

    To address the difficulty of the traditional infiltration-runoff model based on the infiltration curve deduction method in flexibly and efficiently predicting the total runoff generation from permeable asphalt throughout an entire clogging cycle, a modified fractional loss(FRAC) model was developed by integrally deforming the FRAC model, introducing the permeable asphalt induced initial rainfall loss, and adjusting the runoff conversion ratio parameter (Cr), and the modified model was applied to predict the runoff generation from permeable asphalt throughout the entire clogging cycle. The initial rainfall loss was quantified as a function of the infiltration rate, and its empirical fitting equation was established. Furthermore, a functional relationship between the modified parameter Cr, infiltration rate, and rainfall intensity was constructed, enabling dynamic parameter adjustment with variations in rainfall intensity and clogging degree of permeable asphalt. Measured runoff data were used to validate the models, and the results indicate that the FRAC model overestimates the runoff generation from permeable asphalt throughout the entire clogging cycle, with an average absolute error (MAE) of 15.87 mm, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 16.77 mm, and a Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) coefficient of -1.06 for runoff generation prediction. In contrast, the modified FRAC model achieves a substantially improved performance, with an MAE of 0.36 mm, an RMSE of 0.67 mm, and an NSE of 0.97. The modified FRAC model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting the runoff generation from permeable asphalt under various clogging degrees, and can effectively captures the actual total runoff generation.

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杜晓丽,曹晓乐,杨明哲,等.全堵塞周期透水沥青产流量预测的FRAC修正模型[J].水资源保护,2026,42(3):174-181.(Du Xiaoli, Cao Xiaole, Yang Mingzhe, et al. Modified FRAC model for predicting runoff generation from permeable asphalt throughout entire clogging cycle[J]. Water Resources Protection,2026,42(3):174-181.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-16
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