基于多策略深度强化学习的水风光互补调峰调度
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室;2.河海大学水文水资源学院;3.河海大学洪涝灾害风险预警与防控应急管理部重点实验室;4.长江水利委员会水文局;5.中国电建集团成都勘测设计研究院有限公司;6.大连理工大学水电与水信息研究所 )

作者简介:

冯仲恺(1988—),男,教授,博士,主要从事水文水资源研究。E-mail:myfellow@163.com

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基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(52441901,52379009);江苏省自然科学基金优秀青年基金项目(BK20240189);北京江河水利发展基金会——水利青年科技英才项目(JHYC202310)


Peak-shaving operation for hydro-wind-solar complementary based on multi-strategy deep reinforcement learning
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Affiliation:

(1.State Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University;2.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University;3.Key Laboratory of Flood Disaster Risk Warning, Prevention and Mitigation, Ministry of Emergency Management, Hohai University;4.Bureau of Hydrology, Changjiang Water Resources Commission;5.POWERCHINA Chengdu Engineering Corporation Limited;6.Institute of Hydropower & Hydroinformatics, Dalian University of Technology)

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    摘要:

    为提升水风光互补系统应对风光出力不确定性的能力,以典型场景划分与策略适配为基础,提出了一种融合场景自适应判别与多策略深度强化学习的水风光互补系统调峰调度方法。该方法在离线训练阶段采用主成分分析与K-means聚类算法,在季节尺度对历史风光出力日曲线形态特征进行聚类分析,识别并构建不同出力规律的典型场景风光数据集,并基于该数据集在统一目标函数与约束条件下,针对各场景独立构建仿真环境,训练场景专属深度强化学习智能体,进而构建策略知识库;在线调度阶段通过设计BiLSTM-Transformer判别器,以当前季节特征与未来一日标准化风光出力预测序列为输入,输出场景隶属概率分布及标签,而后匹配并调用策略知识库中对应场景的智能体来生成调度指令,通过可行域投影处理确保满足约束条件,形成场景辨识策略匹配滚动调度的动态机制。工程验证结果表明,该方法在满足全部工程约束的前提下,可显著降低负荷波动标准差与峰谷差,决策响应时间达毫秒级;场景判别准确率达97.54%,且具有较强的跨场景适应性与鲁棒性。

    Abstract:

    To enhance the ability of hydro-wind-solar complementary systems to cope with the uncertainty of wind and solar power output, a peak-shaving scheduling method integrating scenario adaptive discrimination and multi-strategy deep reinforcement learning for hydro-wind-solar complementary systems is proposed, based on typical scenario division and strategy adaptation. In the offline training phase, principal component analysis and the K-means clustering algorithm are used to cluster the morphological characteristics of daily historical wind and solar power output curves at the seasonal scale, identifying and constructing typical scenario datasets with different output patterns. Based on these datasets and under unified objective functions and constraints, simulation environments are independently built for each scenario to train scenario-specific deep reinforcement learning agents, thereby constructing a strategy knowledge base. In the online scheduling phase, a BiLSTM-Transformer discriminator is designed, which takes current seasonal features and standardized wind and solar power forecast sequences for the next day as input, outputs the scenario membership probability distribution and labels, then matches and calls the corresponding agent from the strategy knowledge base to generate scheduling instructions. Feasible region projection is applied to ensure constraint satisfaction, forming a dynamic mechanism of “scenario identification-strategy matching-rolling scheduling”. Case verification results show that, under the premise of satisfying all engineering constraints, the proposed method significantly reduces the standard deviation of load fluctuations and the peak-valley difference, with decision response time at the millisecond level. The scenario discrimination accuracy reaches 97.54%, and the proposed method exhibits strong cross-scenario adaptability and robustness. Keywords: hydro-wind-solar complementary; multi-strategy optimization; deep reinforcement learning; peak-shaving operation 〖FL

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冯仲恺,罗涛,牛文静,等.基于多策略深度强化学习的水风光互补调峰调度[J].水资源保护,2026,42(5):9-21.(Feng Zhongkai, Luo Tao, Niu Wenjing, et al. Peak-shaving operation for hydro-wind-solar complementary based on multi-strategy deep reinforcement learning[J]. Water Resources Protection,2026,42(5):9-21.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-27
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