后三峡工程时代长江口咸潮入侵发展新态势及城市水源地应对策略研究
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

1.上海勘测设计研究院有限公司;2.上海市供水调度监测中心

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

(项目编号:2023QT(81)-007)资助,项目名称“上海海区(洋)综合开发利用与保护战略研究”。


Study on the New Development Trends of Saltwater Intrusion in the Yangtze River Estuary and the Response Strategies for Urban Water Sources in the Post-Three Gorges Project Era
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Shanghai Investigation,Design Research Institute Co,Ltd,Shanghai;2.SHANGHAI MUNICIPAL MONITORING CENTRE OF WATER SUPPLY

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    长江口是当前及未来上海城市发展重要的水源地,但咸潮入侵是该水源地安全保障主要的风险源,如何韧性应对关系到城市平稳运行和高质量发展。首先针对长江口咸潮入侵的多个关键影响因素,系统开展了三峡工程前后数十年间长江流域气象变迁及径流响应、海平面变化、河口地形地貌变迁、长江口局地气象及台风生衍变化、人类或人为活动干预等关键驱动因素的深入分析;并结合 2006 、2011、2014、2022 年共4个典型咸潮入侵突出年份针对性开展了相关影响因素贡献与关联作用的重点研究;继而,对比研究了4个典型年份下上海市陈行、青草沙、东风西沙三大水库取水口咸潮影响差异与相关特征;最后就长江口咸潮入侵发展新态势,开展了河口城市水源地应对策略与战略研究。本文对长江口水源地安全保障及未来战略发展具有一定参考价值。

    Abstract:

    The Yangtze River Estuary serves as a critical water source for Shanghai"s urban development both currently and in the future. However, saltwater intrusion stands as the primary risk factor threatening the security of this water source, and developing resilient responses to this challenge is vital for the stable operation and high-quality development of the city. Firstly, focusing on the multiple key influencing factors of saltwater intrusion in the Yangtze River Estuary, this study systematically conducted an in-depth analysis of critical driving factors over decades before and after the Three Gorges Project. These factors include meteorological changes in the Yangtze River Basin and corresponding runoff responses, sea-level rise, changes in estuarine topography and geomorphology, local meteorological conditions and typhoon evolution in the Yangtze River Estuary, as well as human activity interventions. Subsequently, targeting four typical years (2006, 2011, 2014, and 2022) with prominent saltwater intrusion events, the study carried out focused research on the contribution and correlation of relevant influencing factors. Furthermore, a comparative study was conducted to analyze the differences and characteristics of saltwater impacts on the water intakes of Shanghai"s three major reservoirs (Chenhang, Qingcaosha, and Dongfengxisha) across the four typical years.Finally, in response to the new development trends of saltwater intrusion in the Yangtze River Estuary, the study explored response strategies and strategic research for water source security in estuarine cities. This paper holds certain reference value for ensuring the security of water sources in the Yangtze River Estuary and guiding the future strategic development of related fields.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

陈祖军,孙晨刚.后三峡工程时代长江口咸潮入侵发展新态势及城市水源地应对策略研究[J].水资源保护,,():

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-10-10
  • 最后修改日期:2026-08-02
  • 录用日期:2026-08-17
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期: