财务危机预警指标体系及指数构建——来自创业板上市公司的证据
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F830.91

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The Construction of Financial Early—Warning Indicator System and The Index Compiling: Evidence from The GEM Listed Companies
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    摘要:

    运用主成分分析法筛选指标构建财务危机预警指标体系,该体系包含4个因子9个指标。采用突变级数法编制财务危机预警指数,对我国创业板260家上市公司进行了预警。研究结果表明:创业板上市公司盈利状况和现金流量状况相对较好,偿债能力和营运能力欠佳。最终确定财务预警指数参考临界值为0.743。

    Abstract:

    Based on principal component analysis, the paper constructs the early-warning index system of financial crisis including four factors and nine indicators. Then it adopts the catastrophe progression method to compile the financial early-warning index, which is used to study on 260 companies listed on the Growth Enterprise Market(GEM). The research results suggest that the profitable and cash-flow conditions of the sample companies are relatively good while the debt paying ability and operating ability are poor. Finally, the threshold of financial early-warning index is determined to be 0. 743.

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余敏,朱兆珍.财务危机预警指标体系及指数构建——来自创业板上市公司的证据[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2015,17(1):60-65.(YU Ming. The Construction of Financial Early—Warning Indicator System and The Index Compiling: Evidence from The GEM Listed Companies[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2015,17(1):60-65.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2014-11-17
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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-06-09
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