中国大气污染影响因素研究——基于中国城市动态空间面板模型的分析
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F062.2

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国家自然科学基金项目(71673145);国家社会科学基金重大项目(15ZDA053);江苏省社会科学基金项目(16EYB012);江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重点项目(2016ZDIXM018)


Research into the Influential Factors of Air Pollution in China:An Analysis of Dynamic Spatial Panel Model of Chinese Cities
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    摘要:

    准确识别中国大气污染的影响因素,可以为中国大气污染治理政策的合理制定和有效实施提供科学依据。基于2012—2015年我国119个地级及以上城市面板数据,采用动态空间面板模型实证分析中国大气污染的影响因素。研究结论表明:城市大气污染在空间维度和时间维度上分别存在显著的空间溢出效应和动态效应;大气污染与经济发展水平之间存在显著的倒“U”型关系,验证了环境库兹涅茨曲线的存在;以第二产业占GDP比重衡量的产业结构和不断增长的人口密度显著加剧城市大气污染,技术进步和城市绿化有利于改善城市大气污染,而城市环境治理投入对大气污染的改善作用并不显著。依据上述研究结论,提出改善城市大气污染的相应政策建议。

    Abstract:

    Identifying the key factors that have impact on air pollution can provide a scientific basis for the rational formulation and effective implementation of air pollution policies in China. This paper uses panel data of 119 prefecturelevel cities from 20122015 to study the influential factors of air pollution with the spatial dynamic panel data model. The results show that there are significant spatial spillovers and dynamic effects in the spatial dimension and time dimension of urban air pollution in China. There is a significant inverted “U” relationship between air pollution and economic development, which verifies the existence of Environmental Kuznets Curve. The industrial structure measured by the second industry of GDP and the increasing density of the population significantly aggravates the urban air pollution. Technological advances and urban greening may improve the pollution, while the investment of governing air pollution in urban environment is not significant. According to the above findings, this paper makes the corresponding policy suggestions for improving urban air pollution at last.

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刘 军 王慧文 杨 洁.中国大气污染影响因素研究——基于中国城市动态空间面板模型的分析[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2017,19(5):61-67.(LIU Jun, et al. Research into the Influential Factors of Air Pollution in China:An Analysis of Dynamic Spatial Panel Model of Chinese Cities[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2017,19(5):61-67.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-11-02
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