发展战略对能源消费强度的影响——基于新结构经济学的分析
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国家社会科学基金青年项目(19CJL037)


The Impact of Development Strategy on Energy Consumption Intensity: From the Perspective of New Structural Economics
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    摘要:

    基于新结构经济学理论,测度1995—2019年中国分地区的发展战略指数,并利用面板双固定模型考察地区赶超战略对能源消费强度的影响与机制。研究表明:第一,中国分地区发展战略指数总体上呈现显著下降趋势,发展战略日益趋向于符合比较优势,东部地区发展战略指数最低,中部地区次之,西部地区最高;第二,面板双固定效应模型显示,当地区实行违背比较优势的发展战略时会增加能源消费强度,且该效应具有时间和空间异质性;第三,机制检验表明,违背比较优势的发展战略使得企业缺乏自生能力、产业结构扭曲和财政压力增加进而弱化了环境约束,从而提高了能源消费强度。为了促进节能减排,中国应致力于实行遵循比较优势的发展战略,促进西部地区高质量发展等。

    Abstract:

    Under the theoretical framework of new structural economics, this paper measures China’s regional development strategy index from 1995 to 2019, and uses the panel fixed model to examine the impact and mechanism of development strategy on energy consumption intensity. The empirical results show that: (1) China’s sub-regional development strategy index generally shows a significant downward trend, that is, the development strategy increasingly conforms to comparative advantages. The development strategy index of the eastern region is the lowest, followed by the central region and the western region. (2) The fixed effect model shows that when a region implements a development strategy that violates comparative advantages, it will increase energy consumption intensity, and the effect reflects the heterogeneity of time and space. (3) The mechanism test shows that a development strategy that violates comparative advantages makes firms lack viability, distorts industrial structure, and increases fiscal pressure, which weakens environmental constraints, thereby increasing energy consumption intensity. In order to promote energy conservation and emission reduction, China should devote itself to implementing a development strategy based on comparative advantages and promoting high-quality development in the western region. 

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朱 欢,李欣泽.发展战略对能源消费强度的影响——基于新结构经济学的分析[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2021,23(5):26-36.(ZHU Huan, et al. The Impact of Development Strategy on Energy Consumption Intensity: From the Perspective of New Structural Economics[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2021,23(5):26-36.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-11-06
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