基于机器学习的小微企业信贷供给智能决策系统研究——以“银税互动”政策的共享纳税数据为例
作者:
作者单位:

(南京江宁经济技术开发区管理委员会,江苏 南京211100 )

作者简介:

李超杰(1975—),男,高级经济师,博士,主要从事金融科技研究。E-mail: lichaojiephd@aliyun.com

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

F830.56

基金项目:

江苏省社会科学基金(18GLA004)


Intelligent Decision System for Credit Provision of SMEs Based on Machine Learning: With the Data Shared by “Interaction of Banks and Taxes” as an Example
Author:
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(Administration Committee of Nanjing Jiangning Economic and Technological Development Zone, Nanjing 211000, China)

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    摘要:

    随着金融科技的快速发展,如何融合现代信贷技术有效缓解小微企业的融资困境是当前金融市场亟待解决的关键问题。以“银税互动”政策作为切入点,深入挖掘小微企业纳税数据的信用特征,结合随机森林方法和深度神经网络方法对小微企业的信用违约概率和信贷风险等级进行评估,综合考虑银行的经营利润以及风险成本实现不同小微企业信贷利率和信贷额度的优化,以此构建小微企业信贷供给智能决策系统。研究结果表明,纳税数据能够准确识别小微企业的信贷风险,从而为银行信贷供给提供决策依据,并且纳税数据质量较高的小微企业无论是信贷额度还是信贷利率都能够获得银行层面更加有利的信贷支持。

    Abstract:

    With the development of financial technology, how to integrate modern credit technology to effectively alleviate the financing difficulties of small and micro enterprises is a key problem to be solved in the financial market. From the perspective of “interaction of banks and taxes” policy, this paper excavates the credit characteristics of tax information of small and micro enterprises, and evaluates the credit default probability and credit risk level of small and micro enterprises in combination with random forest method and deep neural network method. Then, the profit and cost of the bank are comprehensively considered to optimize the credit interest rate and credit limits of different small and micro enterprises, so as to build an intelligent decision-making system for credit supply of small and micro enterprises. The results show that tax information can accurately identify the credit risk of small and micro enterprises, thus providing decision-making basis for bank credit provision. Furthermore, small and micro enterprises with high quality of tax information usually obtain more favorable credit support in whether credit limits or credit interest rate.

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引用本文

李超杰.基于机器学习的小微企业信贷供给智能决策系统研究——以“银税互动”政策的共享纳税数据为例[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2022,24(4):66-74.(LI Chaojie. Intelligent Decision System for Credit Provision of SMEs Based on Machine Learning: With the Data Shared by “Interaction of Banks and Taxes” as an Example[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2022,24(4):66-74.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2022-01-07
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-13
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