共同富裕进程中的相对贫困:指标构建与影响机制
作者:
作者单位:

(中国财政科学研究院,北京100142 )

作者简介:

王朝才(1957—),男,研究员,博士,主要从事农村财经问题研究。E-mail:wangchc@126.com

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中图分类号:

F320.3;F812.8

基金项目:

国家社会科学基金重大项目(16ZDA021);国家自然科学基金(71863001)


Relative Poverty in the Process of Common Prosperity: Indicator Construction and Influence Mechanism
Author:
Affiliation:

(Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences,Beijing 100142, China)

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    摘要:

    2020年脱贫攻坚战取得历史性圆满成果后,解决了绝对贫困问题,但在扎实推动乡村振兴,实现共同富裕的背景下,在贫困动态变化过程中如何预防返贫、解决相对贫困等动态问题至关重要。而这一前提在于弄清贫困动态变化的影响因素及其如何作用贫困动态变化的机制。为解决这一问题,基于三省六县在精准扶贫政策实施前后4个时期(2010年、2012年、2015年和2018年)的农户样本实地调研数据,构建基于贫困强度调整后的贫困发生率指标,重点将扶贫政策作为影响因素,通过结构方程模型进行实证检验发现:产业发展、文化教育、易地扶贫搬迁以及兜底保障对贫困动态变化均有异质性影响。其中,产业发展、兜底保障有助于降低贫困发生率;文化教育、易地扶贫搬迁在特定时期和区域可能会提高贫困发生率,前者可能受财政教育资金相对趋紧和人口流出所致,后者可能受易地扶贫搬迁政策不具备短期增收效果所致。上述分析为新时期预防返贫、处理相对贫困问题提供了理论指引和政策启发。为此,我国应该继续深化推进农村产业发展以提升农民造血能力,稳步提升以兜底保障为主要内容的社会保障供给水平,持续推进教育领域的财政体制改革,建立高质量教育体系,并因地制宜地推进易地扶贫搬迁的后期扶持,以更好地解决相对贫困问题,早日实现共同富裕。

    Abstract:

    After the historic and successful results of targeted poverty alleviation in 2020, in the context of solidly promoting common prosperity, how to prevent the return of poverty and solve the problem of relative poverty is crucial. The premise of this is to understand the influencing factors and mechanisms of the dynamic change of poverty. To solve this problem, based on the micro-survey data of farmers in three provinces and six counties before and after the implementation of the targeted poverty alleviation policy (2010, 2012, 2015 and 2018), this study found that industrial development, education, and relocation of poverty alleviation and basic security have heterogeneous effects on poverty dynamics. Among them, industrial development and basic security are negatively correlated with the dynamic changes of poverty, which means that they help to reduce the incidence of poverty. Education and relocation of poverty alleviation are positively related to the dynamic changes of poverty in a specific period, which suggests that they may increase the incidence of poverty. The above analysis provides theory guidance and policy inspiration for preventing return to poverty and dealing with relative poverty in the new era. To this end, China should continue to deepen the development of rural industries, steadily improve the level of social security supply, continue to promote the reform of the financial system in the field of education, establish a high-quality education system, and promote the whole process of poverty alleviation relocation according to local conditions, so as to better solve the problem of relative poverty and realize common prosperity at an early date.

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引用本文

王朝才,周子超.共同富裕进程中的相对贫困:指标构建与影响机制[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2023,25(1):80-93.(WANG Chaocai, ZHOU Zichao. Relative Poverty in the Process of Common Prosperity: Indicator Construction and Influence Mechanism[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2023,25(1):80-93.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2022-02-21
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-03-06
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