“双循环”新发展格局下中国双向国际化协同发展研究
作者:
作者单位:

(1.河海大学商学院,江苏 南京211100;2.世界水谷研究院,江苏 南京211100;3.江苏省决策咨询研究基地 (企业国际化发展) ,江苏 南京211100 )

作者简介:

王振华(1993—),男,博士研究生,主要从事跨国经营研究。E-mail:1012272708@qq.com

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中图分类号:

F125.4;F742

基金项目:

国家社会科学基金重大项目(16ZDA046);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(19YJC630155)


Research on the Coordinated Development of China ’s Two-way Internationalization Under the New Development Pattern of “ Double Cycle ”
Author:
Affiliation:

(1.Business School,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,China;2. World Water Valley Institute,Nanjing 211100,China;3.Decision-Making and Consultation Research Base of Jiangsu Province (Enterprise Internationalization and Development),Nanjing 211100,China)

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    摘要:

    中国跨国贸易已进入双向国际化发展新阶段,实现双向国际化协同发展成为构建“双循环”新发展格局的内在要求。在此背景下,检验中国双向国际化协同发展水平,分析双向国际化发展特征对构建高质量“双循环”具有重要意义。通过利用耦合协调度评价模型对中国与74个国家和地区2011—2021年双向国际化数据进行协同性检验,并计算确定了中国在各区域双向国际化主导类型。结果表明:中国双向国际化整体协同水平发展平稳,同亚洲保持平稳上行趋势,而同大洋洲和非洲地区的双向协同性略有降低;中国双向国际化总体协同与区域不平衡矛盾较为突出,中国双向国际化耦合度均值最高达724.26,最低则为16.71,原因在于东道国和母国开展跨国贸易能力存在较大悬殊;中国双向国际化协同发展呈现出“东升西降”格局,与亚洲地区的协同水平逐渐超过欧美,但由于中国同欧美各国双向投资时间长、基数大,即使在近几年出现小幅下滑,双向协同水平仍处于较高水平。建议中国以“双循环”新发展格局为契机推动双向国际化高质量协同,以整体协同为目标因时因地制定差异化双向国际化发展策略,以区域经济合作平台为依托实现中外优势互补,以强化互动为核心激发双向国际化协同效应发挥,以风险检测为手段降低跨国经营风险。

    Abstract:

    China ’s transnational trade has entered a new stage of two-way internationalization. The realization of two-way internationalization and coordinated development has become an inherent requirement for building a new development pattern of “double cycle”. In this context, it has great significance to test the level of coordinated development of two-way internationalization between China and different countries and regions, and to analyze the characteristics of two-way internationalization development in order to build a high-quality “double cycle”. Using the coupling coordination degree evaluation model, this study examines the synergy of the two-way internationalization data with 74 countries and regions from 2011 to 2021 and determines the dominant type of China’s two-way internationalization in each region. The results show that:first, the overall synergy level of China ’s two-way internationalization has steadily developed, maintaining a stable upward trend with Asia, while the two-way synergy with Oceania and Africa has slightly decreased. Second, the overall synergy and regional imbalance of two-way internationalization in China are relatively prominent, with the highest coupling degree of two-way internationalization in China reaching a maximum of 724.26 and a minimum of 16.71. The reason for this imbalance lies in the large disparity between the host country and the home country in the ability to carry out transnational trade. Third, China’s two-way internationalization coordinated development has shown a pattern of “rising in the east and falling in the west”, and the level of coordination with the Asian region has gradually surpassed that of Europe and the United States. However, due to the long time and large base of two-way investment between China and European and American countries, the level of two-way coordination is still at a high level even though it has experienced a slight decline in recent years. Based on the above conclusions, it is recommended that China should take the “ double cycle” new development pattern as an opportunity to promote two-way internationalization and high-quality synergy, develop a differentiated strategy for two-way internationalization development in time and place with overall coordination as the goal, rely on the regional economic cooperation platform to achieve the complementary advantages of China and foreign countries, to stimulate the synergy effect of two-way internationalization with the core of strengthening interaction, and reduce the risk of multinational operations by means of risk detection.

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引用本文

王振华,张阳,田鸣.“双循环”新发展格局下中国双向国际化协同发展研究[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2023,25(2):143-152.(WANG Zhenhua, ZHANG Yang, TIAN Ming. Research on the Coordinated Development of China ’s Two-way Internationalization Under the New Development Pattern of “ Double Cycle ”[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2023,25(2):143-152.(in Chinese))

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  • 收稿日期:2021-10-24
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-05-08
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