中国生育悖论背后的深层逻辑
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(南开大学经济学院,天津300071 )

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C923

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国家社会科学基金重大课题(20&ZD173)


Inherent Logics behind China’s Fertility Paradox
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(School of Economics, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China)

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    摘要:

    中国是目前世界上少数几个进入很低生育率状态的发展中国家之一,这种超前于现代化发展水平的状态成为一个悖论。破解中国低生育率之谜,需要从中国特殊的社会结构性因素入手。研究认为,中国生育悖论的背后有经济、文化和制度3个层面的逻辑,在各自的作用机制及其合力作用下共同构造了一个充满张力的社会场域,通过个人生命历程的高度制度化,对个人的生育意愿和生育决策产生直接和强烈的影响,并形成低生育行为模式的路径依赖,或者说陷入一种结构性低生育率陷阱。这3条逻辑都有其历史根源,是一种长期性、结构性的社会构造力。因此,低生育率社会场域在短期内难以破局。在低生育率的政策应对上,不仅需要消除性别歧视和“母职惩罚”,促进“工作-生育”平衡等生育友好政策,更需要深化各项民生制度改革,从根本上消除或调整抑制生育意愿和生育行为的结构性因素。

    Abstract:

    China is one of the few developing countries with very low fertility in the current world. The very low fertility ahead of the level of modernization has become a paradox. To solve this puzzle, we need to have perspective of the societal context and structural factors. There are three logics behind China’s fertility paradox, namely economic, cultural and institutional. The forces of these logics created a social atmosphere full of tension which influence directly and strongly the individual’s fertility intention and decision-making by institutionalization of the life course, and lead to the path-dependence of low fertility behavior pattern. All the logics are long-term social tectonic forces and have their historic roots. Thus, it’s difficult to reverse the situation of low fertility in the short term. In the policy response to the low fertility, it is not only necessary to eliminate gender discrimination and maternal punishment, promote a balance between work and childbirth and other fertility friendly policies, but also to deepen reforms in various livelihood systems and fundamentally eliminate or adjust structural factors that inhibit fertility intentions and behaviors.

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引用本文

李建民.中国生育悖论背后的深层逻辑[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2024,26(1):1-11.(LI Jianmin. Inherent Logics behind China’s Fertility Paradox[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2024,26(1):1-11.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-03-01
  • 出版日期: 2024-02-25