数字经济对外投资合作与新质生产力发展——来自中国微观企业的证据
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(南京大学商学院)

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冯帆(1976—),女,教授,博士,主要从事国际贸易研究。E-mail:fengfan@nju.edu.cn

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教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(22JJD790072)


The Foreign Investment and Cooperation of the Digital Economy and the Development of New Quality Productive Forces: Evidence from Firm-level Data in China
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(Business School, Nanjing University)

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    摘要:

    随着新一轮科技革命和产业变革的深入推进,数字经济正逐步发展为助力全球经济增长的新引擎,如何通过数字经济对外投资合作赋能新质生产力发展,已成为我国实现高质量发展的重要议题。基于新质生产力的理论内涵与现实要求,使用变系数生产函数模型重构了TFP的测度体系,以科学衡量企业新质生产力,在此基础上采用2009—2022年我国沪深A股上市企业的面板数据,使用多时点DID模型实证探讨了数字型对外直接投资(数字型OFDI)对企业新质生产力的影响。研究发现,企业开展数字型OFDI显著促进了其新质生产力发展,该结论在经过内生性问题处理和多种稳健性检验后依然成立。并且,这一效应在不同投资动机下的数字型OFDI中无明显差异,在高数字化转型程度企业、高技术行业企业中表现更为明显。机制检验表明,企业数字型OFDI通过创新能力提升机制和供应链管理优化机制赋能新质生产力发展,其中创新能力提升体现为创新增量提质和关键核心技术突破,供应链管理优化体现为供应链管理效率提高和供应链韧性增强。进一步分析发现,现阶段数字型OFDI主要从科技和效能增进路径影响企业新质生产力,其深度和广度的增加均能显著促进企业新质生产力的发展。

    Abstract:

    With the in-depth advancement of a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, the digital economy has become a new driver for global economic growth. Enabling the development of new quality productive forces through foreign investment and cooperation in the digital economy is an important issue for China to achieve high-quality development. Based on the theoretical connotation and practical requirements of new quality productive forces, this paper reconstructs the measurement system of firms’ total factor productivity (TFP) using a varying coefficient production function model to evaluate their new quality productive forces scientifically. On this basis, this paper uses panel data from China’s A-share listed companies from 2009 to 2022 and employs a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) model to empirically investigate the impact of digital-type outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) on firms’ new quality productive forces. This paper finds that firms’ digital-type OFDI significantly promotes the development of their new quality productive forces, and this conclusion still holds after dealing with endogeneity problems and conducting robustness tests. Moreover, this effect has no obvious difference in digital-type OFDI under different investment motivations, and is more significant in firms with high digital transformation and those in high-tech industries. Mechanism tests show that firms’ digital-type OFDI enables the development of new quality productive forces by improving innovation capability and optimizing supply chain management. Specifically, innovation capability improvement is reflected in the increase of innovation quantity, enhancement of innovation quality, and breakthroughs in key core technologies; and supply chain management optimization is manifested in improved efficiency and increased resilience of supply chains. Further analysis indicates that digital-type OFDI develops firms’ new quality productive forces mainly through technology and efficiency improvement paths. Additionally, the increase in the depth and breadth of digital-type OFDI significantly promotes the development of firms’ new quality productive forces.

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冯帆,李芳芳.数字经济对外投资合作与新质生产力发展——来自中国微观企业的证据[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2025,27(3):109-122.(FENG Fan, LI Fangfang. The Foreign Investment and Cooperation of the Digital Economy and the Development of New Quality Productive Forces: Evidence from Firm-level Data in China[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2025,27(3):109-122.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-04
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