都是“泼天的富贵”吗——流量城市的风险生成及其破解之道
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(1.河海大学公共管理学院;2.南京信息工程大学法学与公共管理学院)

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Is It Really Just an “Unprecedented Windfall”? The Generation of Risk in Flow Cities and Its Solutions
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(1.School of Public Administration, Hohai University;2.School of Law and Public Administration, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology)

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    摘要:

    数字时代,流量城市面临流量发展与风险伴生的治理悖论。受技术乐观主义、城市竞争导向及风险研究方法论影响,既有研究呈现明显的“正向偏好”,即多关注流量城市的发展效应而忽略其背后的伴生风险。为弥补既有研究不足,基于风险放大理论,从内源性、空间性及社会性三重维度构建分析框架,揭示流量城市的风险生成过程。研究认为,流量城市的风险遵循“内源异化-空间叠加-社会极化”的放大路径,是多维要素共同驱动的结果:技术激活流量城市的风险基因诱发内源异化,人流、物流、信息流等多流耦合扩散形成空间叠加,算法-社会嵌套引致治理堕距加剧社会极化。相较于传统城市风险,流量城市的风险在风险类型、扩散特征、空间属性、放大机制等方面存在显著差异,因此其治理焦点、治理逻辑及治理目标也应有所区别。据此,提出以流量为核心构建“风险治理链”,由流量发展的外循环路径与风险治理的内循环路径构成,进而形成风险预警的高质量聚流、风险调控的高水平用流、风险评估的高标准限流及风险化解的高价值引流的全过程及全周期风险治理,旨在为平衡城市流量发展与风险治理提供理论支撑与具体举措。

    Abstract:

    In the digital era, “flow cities” face a governance paradox where flow development is accompanied by inherent risks. Driven by technological optimism, urban competition orientation, and the methodological limitations in addressing flow risks, existing studies exhibit an obvious “positive bias” that is, they mostly focus on the developmental effects of “flow cities” while neglecting the associated risks underlying the development orientation. To address the gaps in existing research, this study, based on the social amplification of risk framework (SARF), constructs an analytical framework from three dimensions—endogeneity, spatiality, and sociality—to reveal the formation process of risks in “flow cities”. This paper argues that risks in “flow cities” follow an amplification path of “endogenous alienation–spatial superposition–social polarization”, which is driven by the joint action of multiple factors. Specifically, technology activates the risk genes of “flow cities”, inducing endogenous alienation; the coupled diffusion of multiple flows (such as human flow, material flow, and information flow) leads to spatial superposition; and the algorithm-society nesting results in governance lag, exacerbating social polarization. Compared with traditional urban risks, risks in “flow cities” exhibit significant differences in dimensions such as risk types, diffusion characteristics, spatial attributes, and amplification mechanisms, and thus differ in governance focus, logic, and objectives. Accordingly, this study proposes constructing a risk governance chain centered on flows, which consists of the external circulation path for flow development and the internal circulation path for risk governance. This chain forms a full-process, full-cycle risk governance system, including high-quality flow aggregation based on risk early warning, high-level flow utilization based on risk regulation, high-standard flow restriction based on risk assessment, and high-value flow guidance based on risk resolution, providing both theoretical support and specific measures for balancing urban flow development and risk governance.

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唐雲,王鼎然,王英.都是“泼天的富贵”吗——流量城市的风险生成及其破解之道[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2025,27(5):109-120.(TANG Yun, WANG Dingran, WANG Ying. Is It Really Just an “Unprecedented Windfall”? The Generation of Risk in Flow Cities and Its Solutions[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2025,27(5):109-120.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-12
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