区域分化与空间关联:社会保障高质量发展促进中国式现代化
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(1.西北大学公共管理学院;2.西北大学社会保障研究院)

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Regional Differentiation and Spatial Linkages: High-quality Development of Social Security for Chinese Modernization
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(1.School of Public A dministration, Northwestern University;2.Institute of Social Security, Northwest University)

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    摘要:

    中国式现代化是新时代实现中华民族伟大复兴的重要命题,社会保障高质量发展是实现中国式现代化的重大任务。通过构建多维评价指标体系对我国2013—2022年31个省(自治区、直辖市)的中国式现代化及社会保障高质量发展水平进行测度,引入空间杜宾模型分析社会保障高质量发展对中国式现代化的影响。研究发现:在时间变动上,中国式现代化和社会保障高质量发展水平总体呈上升趋势;在区域分化上,两者表现为“东部领先、中部发展、西部进步”的空间分布格局;在维度差异上,两者皆表现为结构性不平衡及增长非均衡的态势。以普惠性、充分性、公平性、发展性、可持续性、安全规范性为特征的社会保障高质量发展从广度、力度、深度、高度、温度五个方面促进了中国式现代化。社会保障高质量发展的促进效果不仅具有长期性和整体性,还具有区域异质性,东部地区社会保障高质量发展和中国式现代化水平更高,但社会保障高质量发展助力中国式现代化的成效相对较弱。此外,社会保障高质量发展和中国式现代化均呈现正向的空间溢出效应,本地区社会保障高质量发展和中国式现代化水平的提高具有辐射空间关联地区的带动效应,促进了空间关联地区的中国式现代化进程。聚焦整体发展,提高社会保障高质量发展水平,缩减不同维度结构差距、强化正向空间溢出效应、推进结构均衡发展和区域协同发展是实现中国式现代化的重要政策选择。

    Abstract:

    Chinese modernization is a crucial proposition for realizing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation in the new era, and high-quality development of social security is a major task for achieving Chinese modernization. This paper measures Chinese modernization and high-quality development of social security in 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) of China from 2013 to 2022 by constructing a multi-dimensional evaluation index system. It introduces the spatial Durbin model to analyze the impact of high-quality development of social security on Chinese modernization. This paper finds that the overall level of Chinese modernization and high-quality development of social security shows an upward trend. In terms of regional differentiation, the two exhibit a spatial distribution pattern of “leading in the eastern region, developing in the central region, and progressing in the western region”. In terms of dimensional differences, both exhibit structural imbalance and unbalanced growth. The high-quality development of social security, characterized by inclusiveness, sufficiency, fairness, development, sustainability, and security standardization, has promoted Chinese modernization in five dimensions of breadth, intensity, depth, height and warmth. The promoting effect of high-quality development of social security has not only long-term and overall characteristics, but also regional heterogeneity. The eastern region has a higher level of high-quality development of social security and Chinese modernization, but the effectiveness of high-quality development of social security in contributing to Chinese modernization is relatively weak. In addition, both the high-quality development of social security and Chinese modernization show positive spatial spillover effects. The improvement of the high-quality development of social security and the level of Chinese modernization in a region has a spillover effect on the spatially related areas, promoting Chinese modernization in those areas. It is suggested to focus on overall development, enhance the high-quality development of social security, reduce the structural gap in different dimensions, strengthen the positive spatial spillover effect, and promote balanced structural development and coordinated regional development, thereby achieving Chinese modernization.

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引用本文

吴玉锋,徐妍,杨巧雲.区域分化与空间关联:社会保障高质量发展促进中国式现代化[J].河海大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2025,27(6):54-70.(WU Yufeng, XU Yan, YANG Qiaoyun. Regional Differentiation and Spatial Linkages: High-quality Development of Social Security for Chinese Modernization[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Philosophy and Socail Sciences),2025,27(6):54-70.(in Chinese))

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-10
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